Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Pre-return thoughts

Just a few thoughts on tonight's primaries before the polls actually close:

- If Hillary loses both, she's done. She's more or less mathematically done at this point anyway, but if she loses both states tonight, she can no longer play the 'electability' card against Obama and most everyone will start admitting that the race is over.

- If Obama loses both states, he's in dire straits. Apologies for the rhyme. If Obama is swept, he's not in as bad of a place as Hillary, but the argument that he's unelectable will start to make a lot more sense to the delegates. I said before that I'm not counting Hillary out, and if she pulls off the sweep tonight, I'll go so far as to say that she's back 'in,' delegate counts be damned.

- The more likely outcome is that Obama wins North Carolina and Hillary wins Indiana, and we get to put up with this crap for at least another month. All the while, John McCain sits there grinning like the cat that ate the canary.

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